The results of this elections makes no sense.
Some parts of the results make sense but most of them need to be
further analyzed:
1) PAP rebounded back to their 2006 level which was 66.6% after
adjusting for 3.54% in new citizens and deducting it from 69.9% in
2015. Possibly one of the reasons is due to stabalizing of
housing prices which saw only up to 5% increase in the 4-year
stretch as opposed to the huge increase from 2006 to 2011.
So naturally more younger people voted for PAP.
2) Png Eng Huats result of 57.69% isn't too far away from
the 62.08%
result he got in 2012 after you factor in the 3.54% adjustment
losing just additional 0.85% of the votes.
3) Aljunied GRC's result of 50.95%
isn't too far away from the
54.72% 2011 results after factoring in the 3.54% adjustments losing
just additional 0.23% of the votes.
4) SPP lost substantial amount of
votes probably because they did not have Mandarin
broadcasts and thus failed to win the votes from Chinese speaking
families.
5) NSP lost substantial amount of votes because they were hit by
a series of resignations by its good members including Goh Meng
Seng, Tony Tan, Hazel Poa, Jeneatte, Nicole Seah and Tan Lam Siong
as well as the scandal of President Sebastian Teo. Currently
there is only Lim Tean is of equivalent appeal.
6) Goh Meng Seng led
PPP performed badly because they did not have enough star
politicians there and they did not qualify for political
broadcasts.
7) SingFirst performed badly because it is the first time this
new party is contesting in those districts and they are tough
districts where people are happy (because of good asset value) or
led by very strong minister.
8) SDA performed as about the same as they did in 2011
(30.06%)
after you factor in the 3.54% adjustment to the 27.08% result they
received. However they slided by around 5% in Pasir-Ris
Punggol after you factor in the 3.54%
9) Keneath Jayaratnam led Reform Party's bad result
is probably attributed to
voters' perception of their objectives as KJ insisted on going
against WP in the 2013 by-election where he received only slightly
more than 1% of the votes.
10) SDP's real slide in this election is only
36.76-3.54-31.23=1.99%. This is probably due to the
resignation of all members of it's 2011 A-team.
11) Similarly, WP is very closed to its previous results this
election in Nee Soon, Sengkang West, Fengshan and Jalan Besar
after you factor in the 3.54%.
As for WP's bad performance in East Coast and Marine Parade, I
really have no idea.
Again these are just my personal opinions. Ignore
them if you disagree.
