Costs
,benefits and risks of late evacuation
My impression of oz plan is stay to the last minutes.
Take Healsvellie yesterday warning as example.
DSE just warned residents in
''Dowd Road,
Romeo Road, Anderson Road, Gibbs Road, Juliet Avenue and Donald
Street in Healesville''
Fire updates
- further
information about significant fires
DSE did not warn residents in the same town which is within few
km !!
So,if the above locations are attacked by fires,how about the
other locations
in the same town?Some survivours said the fires came like a
train!!
Costs
Lifes.
Benefits
May be it can save the house by staying late.
Risks
Hurt and deaths.
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Costs,risks
and benefits to the authority if impose mandatory
evacuations
Currently,it is up to residensts to decide when to leave .
Mandatory evacuations mean the authority order residents to
leave the house
if the threats is very high.
Costs
Financially-----cater for foods and loadgings
Politically-----people make noise and lose votes
Legally----Authority may be sued if house burst down after
mandatory evacuated.
Benefits
save lifes.
2.Catch 22 situation.
People seldom thank you decisions of politicians.
In this case,people will blame if they are mandatory evacuated
and the
house has not been affected.People also blame if their
house burnt down.
Their reasons would''If i stay benind,i can save my house.''
People just blame if somethings happen.
So,the benefits are too remote.
Risks
Tied up to costs listed above.Losing votes---the most important
factor!!
Conclusions of
the authority
Mandatory evacuation is not a good option---for the
authority!!
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what a good gavaman or authority shall do?
Let the residents to decide?
Gavaman take the resposibility to order evacuation if the risks
too high?
u tell me lah?
