hi all,
So where on earth does this "extra money" come from, to make so
many people rich?
..............
well, billion dollars can't simply vanish overnight. i think
that the incurred losses are accumulated over a long period of
time, and that many companies hide their losses to avoid having bad
PR. That's the reason why we are hearing so many cases of bank
crisis now, and that our beloved sovereign weath funds (GIC,
Temasek) now have to bail them out.
Some qsns to you guys out there.
1) do you think that there are many more banks and companies out
there who were secretly hiding their losses out there?
2) do you think that it is a wise decision to spend our
country's money to bail out a company which has suddenly
reported a loss of several billion dollars, and risk bankruptcy?
how can we be certain that they will not repeat such mistakes
again, and lose S'pore's money in the future?
Erm, there's no so-called "extra money". It's value (real or
perceive) derived from the economical system, going back all the
way into barter trade. This one you might wanna read up more on
economics.
Ya, billions dun vanish overnight. If you referring to the us
subprime case, the money didn't vanish overnight, not in the sense
you are talking abt. To put it very generally, the perceived value
crashed, due to the realisation of the actual real value.
Erm.. dun think so. a) The motivation to hide the losses usually
increases when the decisions of the company (that caused the
losses) are unique from other companies. In this case, many large
companies like UBS, Meryll Lynch had suffered losses, and they were
considered the experts in that area of investing. So companies are
more okay to repost losses too, their thinking could be "even the
top banks, with the best brains suffered, who can blame us?"
b) Timing in reporting potential losses is extremely important.
When UBS, etc first realised their potential losses they issued
press statements immediately, way before their audited financial
reports are due. This has the effect to "cushion" investors. Other
CFOs who at that point may or may not realised the losses, will
have done a check on their own explosure. Any realisation of losses
will also be reported immediately, to take advantage of the "losses
band wagon". So if one is a CEO in a bank, he knows that his bank
had suffered losses, he knows that other banks are reporting it, he
will have less motivation to hide it.
c) The emron case.
2) Guess there is no right wrong maybe answers. The banks,
before this incident, had proved to be successful. I'm sure after a
major incident like this, new controls will be implemented. That
there is no perfect system in the world. Nobody in this world wants
to lose. I'm sure the new controls inplaced are sufficient to deal
with similar problems of this nature in future. However, problems
of a completely different nature may hit.