The good thing about all this is that the BN(still in
power) would have to take the opposition seriously now
and show proof thier desire to tend to the very concerns of
Malaysians which have caused this near rout.
The bad and worst thing is that the Malaysian political scene is
in a complete mess. Bn has lost key states which are critical to
its economy and not to mention important sources of income for the
coalition. BN`s efforts to push Malaysia forward economically has
taken a hit. The opposition, meanwhile, is not a BN. They are only
united in thier desire to kick out BN. DAP does`nt trust PAS. PAS
doesn`t trust the DAP. Keadilan is the weak bridge between
the two. If you leave DAP and PAS by themselves, it will end in a
shooting war between non-malay intellectuals and technocrats and
ultra conservative Islamists. Expect policies to get delayed and
torn apart at the parliamentary and state level as pork-barrel
politics come into play. Each side will simply blame the
other side.
As far as leaders go, Malaysia will be in a worst state than
ever before. Badawi would most likely resign. Ironically, he is the
best BN has got now. His successor Najib is aristocratic
and overtly haughty. He nearly lost his seat two elections ago in
his capacity as DPM. It will force the party to look internally for
new leaders. But the current crop of new leaders are new, divisive,
untested and do not seem to be very capable. BN has made the fatal
error of allowing too many ministers warm thier seats for far too
long without making a decent effort to cultivate new talent. UMNO
might just as well fall back to extreme race-based themes and
policies to retake the lost malay ground. In effect, BN could end
up with extreme rightist leaders who champion malay rights and
little knowledge as per running the country well.
Malaysia is worst off in the short run. However, it is hard to
say how it will look in the longer term. Internationally, Malaysia
will probably become more insular in the next couple of years as
rival political parties fight for every inch of ground. Policies
will most likely be more populist in nature and will not really
be helpful for Malaysia.
In about 4 years time, the people will get tired with the
political infighting from all sides and little work done
in reality. They will vote in the BN once again because there was
at least some decent progress made when they were ruling the states
concerned.
My two cents.
I do not want to disagree with you , however i have to admit in
certain truth to your assumptions that fractures will appear. PKR
has to reign in DAP and PAS as a united front , irregardless of
race and religion. However , that asside , we will
continually work with BN and push for progress and better lives for
the people. We will stop BN from ammendants of further NEP related
policies in the laws. We will wish to repeal the law. But it
is a process that will not be an easy task.
I would love to rebutt some of your assumptions however i cant
reveal the nature of the contents. Let time work its way. And for a
strong opposition coalition to survive and continue to push through
, it will be co-operation no own selfishness. As we have seen in
history , the people has the last say.
