Dear Camb76,
I am aware that in talking about investment funds return,
generally we should be looking at whole portfolio performance and
not individual stocks.
However whenever people are complaining about any problems or
criticizing the government policies or performance, there is a need
to be fair and give credit where credit is due.
The problem is have we got a government who is responsive to
criticism or who is fair and willing to admit mistakes or take
actions to solve problems?
Very often the key or main issues behind the complaints as you
can see is not so much about the detailed or technical aspects but
rather the principles. If principles are wrong detailed discussions
of technicalities of issues will be pointless.
In the governance of this country, has any of our leaders
realized such fundamental principles that people are not happy
because of government lack of responsiveness and unwillingness to
admit mistakes not the right or wrong over a particular issues or
problems.
The monies which Temasek or GIC are investing in are people's
monies accumulated as surpluses due to over-taxing and profiteering
of the people through all sorts of schemes and devices with all
sorts of excuses as posted by many people here.
Government has often claimed credits for such surpluses without
admitting that these surpluses were the results of wrongful
exploitations of their fruits of labor.
So it is not wrong for people to question repeatedly
government's investments in many overseas projects like Shin Corp
or Bangalore or Russian Township.
Principles are being questioned and not particulars of
investments. Has the government so far been willing to be more
transparent and accountable in the way it invested their monies -
some US$100 billions - in various overseas projects from Shin Corp
to Global Crossing, Telcomsel etc.
Because of its past failures to respond to citizens' concern
over such reasonable expectations, people are not easily appeased
by superficial measures or quick fixes. They will not rest this
issue until more is being done to prevent losses of the kind seen
in Shin Corp. It is not because the government has not made some
profits in some other investments as you mentioned. They know the
government has made some profits in some other investments. It is
the principle of care and prudence which has to be exercised by
anyone taking charge of public funds which has not been followed
obviously by those who made these shoddy decisions.
There is obviously much more to be done to ensure that decisions
in investments are made only scrupulously and professionally not by
gut feel like in the case of Micropolis or Shin Corp.
If Dr. Tony Tan now realized this error of Temasek and began to
set up clear guidelines or codes of practice it is a good move.
Problem is our leaders have been too stubborn on records over many
such negligence and errors and this is only the tip of the
iceberg.
NKF should have been taken to tasks way back in early 1990s for
similar failures to disclose information to make the organization
more transparent and accountable. Due to the similar obstinacy
(called variously auto-piloting by Ngiam Tong Dow and Disaffective
divide by Dr, Catherine Lim) many major policy errors took years to
be admitted and changed.
As leaders, they ought to be willing to accept mistakes but
often it took them ages to do so resulting in serious migration,
dropping child birth, rising costs of living etc. It is only when
his own grand children studying overseas currently also decided not
to return to Singapore that MM Lee finally has admitted that we
have a serious brain drain problem.
First of all, Shin Corp, Micropolis and Telcomsel were all
Temasek investments. GIC had no hand in any of them. GIC and
Temasek are separate entities, with no overlapping board
members.
Second, Temasek is very transparent. Just go to www.temasek.com.sg,
and you can read all their accounts. Balance sheet, income
statement and cash flow statement are all there for everyone
to see.
Third, concerning investments, whether it is done by Temasek or
GIC or Warren Buffett or George Soros, you must look at the TOTAL
portfolio return to be fair. Every investor, however good, even
Buffett (for example, he lost US$900mln betting against the US
dollar in 2005), are bound to sustain losses on some portion
of his/her portfolio. The test is whether the investor makes a good
return on his/her TOTAL portfolio over time. So you rightly pointed
out that Temasek sustained losses in several high profile
investments, but to be fair you should also note that their total
portfolio recorded an annual return of 27% as of March 2007
(you can see this from their website). The annual return was 26%
per year on average over 2 years, as of March 2007. So according to
these figures, the Shin Corp and Telcomsel problems did not
significantly impair Temasek's total returns.
How is this possible, you may ask? Temasek made some very astute
investments in recent years, which critics tend to overlook. For
example, Temasek bought a large stake in Bank of China before its
IPO, and that stock price has rocketed in recent years.
Now this does not detract from the failures regarding Shin Corp
and other examples, and I believe certain top people in
Temasek should have been fired.
But the point remains. Whatever their failures, one should be
fair in his assessment of the performance of Temasek and GIC, and
more broadly the government. That means taking both successes and
failures into account, and providing a fair assessment and
perspective.
Thank you.