The Suzhou investment is of course a failure and of course I can
accept the fact that not all investments are going to 100% yield
money, this Suzhou investment failed before it even started
haha.
However, for SHIN CORP, lets not jump to conclusions too fast. SHIN
CORP was meant to be a strategic investment afterall. Beyond all
the chaos and noise, which government bashers conveniently uses for
their case, surely any person knows that you look at an investment
for its long term value rather than the short term losses.
It will not be wrong to say that alot of mergers, acquisitions and
investments normally see losses in the initital stages. That is
because time is needed for harmful "fats" to be trimmed off in a
big company like Shin Corp.
Looking at Shin Corp, it owns the biggest Telco operator AIS which
has at least 50% of the market share. This is pretty dominant in a
very competitive market. Shin Corp has businesses in many different
areas and that is where the fats need to be trimmed. You can choose
to look at just how ITV, part of Shin Corp, is fined billions but
did you know that ITV is only contributing less than 5% of Shin
Corp's earnings? I would be surprised if in time to come, Temasek
does not divest ITV away.
I definitely think that Temasek's strategy with Shin Corp is one of
technology. Do not forget they will bring in people like Singtel
into the picture and I can think that technologies like 3G etc will
be developed in Thailand and will further strengthen Shin Corp's
position in Thailand.
As for Political situations which definitely will affect businesses
to large extent, let us consider for a moment. How likely is this
feeling of tension going to last for a long long time? I would
rather think that both Thailand and Singapore knows that it is best
to find a peaceful solution and the likely scenario is that in time
to come, this will become another coffeeshop talk in Thailand and
Singapore, and things wil resume to normacy again.
Of cos, the world is looking. And while it is too early to judge
Shin Corp, in time to come, Temasek will have to show that it is
indeed the right choice.