A perspective of the Thai Military
Coup from a Thai Historian, and with the paragraphs marked
in 'RED'
being events that should be familiar
to us.
Extracted from The Star:
Coup a step forward for Thai
democracy
By SHAHANAAZ HABIB
PETALING JAYA: Is the coup in Thailand that deposed a
democratically-elected Prime Minister a step backward for the
country?
No, said Thai historian Dr Kobkua Suwannathat-Pian.
On the contrary, she believes, that the Sept 19 coup is actually
the way forward for democracy for Thailand.
Democracy took a beating under the leadership of Thaksin
Shinawatra, she noted.
The constitution, which used to
be good when it was drafted, had been manipulated in such a way
that all the institutions which were supposed to be the safeguards
of democracy had failed, she said.
It could not save the rights of
individuals, provide safeguards against practices of corruption or
from politicians who are not honest from continue doing what they
were doing.
The political situation could not be solved constitutionally
because the Prime Minister refused to step down and the
constitution could not force him out.
The country was at an impasse and there was no way out, added Dr
Kobkua, a former professor of history at Universiti Tenaga
Nasional.
So for her, while the coup may not be the best way forward but
its a way forward.
It gives you time to stop and take stock of whats happened since
the coup in 1992 until now. A lot of things happened that damaged
democratic principles.
This coup is another step in the process of democratising
Thailand. Without it, I think we will definitely go backwards, she
stressed.
But if the putsch was a step towards democratisation, why did the
coup leaders move backwards by introducing draconian regulations
such as the clampdown on the press and banning political parties
and gatherings?
Dr Kobkua said this was to prevent a counter-coup from Thaksin
loyalists.
Going by the past coups, she said, there was a format the coup
leaders would adopt.
Firstly, they would take over all the strategic facilities such as
communication, government offices, the military power base and the
palace.
Secondly, they would announce that they had taken over power and
thirdly they would get the blessings of the King and announce
it.
Then, they would ban political parties, abolish the constitution
and put freedom of the press under scrutiny.
Thats the format of the coup to make sure that control is
complete. And whoever wants to do a counter-coup will not have the
opportunity. Dont forget Thaksin also has supporters in the
military, she said.
Dr Kobkua is of the view that once an interim premier is put in
place in about two weeks and an interim constitution drawn up, the
controls would normally be lifted and the tight rein on the media
and assembly would be relaxed again.
Stressing that she did not support coup detats, Dr Kobkua however
pointed out that this latest one was different.
The Suan Dusit poll done a day after the coup showed that 82% of
the people in the city supported it and 86% of those in the
countryside normally a Thaksin power-base backed it.
The surprising thing was to find rural people supporting
it. It has never happened before that both city and countryside
folks support a coup, she added.
Dr Kobkua does not think the growing violence in southern Thailand
was the main reason that forced the military to stage this
coup.
If that is the main reason, it would have happened a long time ago
not now, she said.
Rather, she sees it as a power struggle and a clash of
personalities and policies of Thaksin and army commander-in-chief
Gen Sonthi Boonyaratkalin.
Gen Sonthi, a Muslim and the first to rise to such a high post, got
the job unexpectedly. A quiet and professional man, he was never
close to Thaksin nor did he have the support of political
personalities behind him.
It was former Prime Minister and chairman of the Privy Council Gen
Prem Tinsulanonda, and former army commander-in-chief Gen Surayuth
Chulanont, also a Privy councillor, who recommended Gen Sonthis
name to the King.
But Thaksin and Gen Sonthi clashed from the start on the policy to
be used in the restive south.
The Prime Minister was always for using force to show the
separatists that they cannot win. But Gen Sonthi said no we must
talk to them and find out what the grudges are and do whatever we
can to put it right, said Dr Kobkua.
So Gen Sonthi did not get the confidence of the prime minister and
was not given the authority to co-ordinate the solving of the
problem in the south.
Dr Kobkua noted that if Gen Sonthi had been Thaksins good friend,
in all probability the coup would not have happened.
Word out was that Gen Sonthi was going to be moved to an inactive
post in the annual military reshuffle that was coming up.
Dr Kobkua believed that another reason the coup leaders decided to
go for it was because a democratic reform movement had planned to
carry out protests in Bangkok on Wednesday.
The government's side had planned to counter this move by calling
on their own supporters.
There was bound to be trouble. I dont think Thailand could afford
this so someone had to do something, she said.
And now with the coup, the Thai historian thinks that this would be
the best time to find an acceptable solution to the problem in the
south.
She said that while Thailand would never allow the southern
provinces to secede, there might be a middle ground where both
sides could give and take.
The problems in the south have been there since 1902, she noted,
adding that the majority in the Muslim south have come to accept
the government in Bangkok.
Dr Kobkua noted that the situation only flared up from time to time
when the south felt they had been unfairly treated.
In the 1980s and 1990s the situation was calm. It turned violent
again two years ago.
Dr Kobkua attributed this to the
fact that Thaksin did very little for the south as he did not get
100% support in the elections. Hence he channelled aid and economic
development elsewhere.
There must be something the central
government can do now to make life better in the south. A majority
do not support violence. They just want to be fairly treated and
get a fair share of the countrys wealth, she said.
She said the situation in Thailand would be normal as long as the
coup leaders kept their word.
They need to set up an interim government in two weeks, hold
elections within the next 12 months and bring in a stronger
democratic government that would serve the interests of all.
But if doesnt what then?
That would be sad. It would mean that the military would carry on
and that would be a step backward, she said.