The obvious has been said. By then Lau Lee will be dead, and PAP
may be splitted into two camps- one pro-Lee family and the others
who remain ambitious in getting the PM post.
Honestly, my thought is that while there's a chance that PAP will
be split right down to the middle after LKY dies, there's another
chance PAP might still remain united.
In any case, the Lee family hold on S'pore itself will weaken as
the eldest son, Lee Hsien Loong isn't as strong as a personality as
his father. LKY is everything that LHL isn't.
LKY is dominating, chrismatic and has the ability to hold
everyone's attention in the room when he speaks. He also has
leadership qualities- although more in the vein of an autocratic
dictator than a democratic leader. LHL isn't anything of that. LHL
has zero-chrisma. He cannot dominate. His speeches are more likely
to induce people to sleep than stir up people into action. He's
also boring and- he can't make people laugh btw- and has a boring
personality. And add to the fact that he has zlich leadership
qualities and his fakeness of being a leader and you will see that
once LKY dies, LHL's real leadership skills(or lack of) will be
shown to all S'poreans.
His position now is due to his father- we all know that. And when
his father, the main backer- goes, so will some of LHL's powers as
PM as well. If that is the case, democratic supporters will have a
good chance in finding loopholes that may not be around when LKY is
alive.
My bet is that while PAP will continue to rule in the next 5-10
years, the future of their party will be unknown in the next 12-15
years or even 20 years. Eventually autocratic regimes will crumble
with time- PAP will also go through that. It's only human nature.
What may seem invincible now may be deemed jelly the next
day.
PAP will not enjoy another 50 years of constant rule- I'm quite
sure of it as I know that PAP is not the only party around in
Singapore who can rule Singapore. In the next 20 years, we may see
something different. A real option and a real chance to start a new
chapter in Singapore's history and a new era..