Date : 30.12.2004
To: Editor, Today,
Mr. Tay Boon Suns reply (30.12.2004) to my letter published in
Today (24.12.2004) has explained only the internal policies of HDB,
namely that its shorter lease period of three years has permitted
more market-sensitive and flexible adjustments of rentals which
will therefore be seen as fairer vis-à-vis the JTCs longer term
leases of 30 years.
However, what Mr. Tay did not recognize is the fact that HDB is a
monopoly landlord in Singapore. As a monopoly, when the HDB revises
the rentals at every three years, its internal fixing of rental
levels will remain a contentious issue. What is known so far is
that HDB has adopted a comparison method of rental adjustments
during lease renewal which tends to revise rental upwards but not
downwards to comparable peak rentals achieved at similar
locations or its own perception of comparable rentals.
A pertinent question may be asked: would the HDB be willing to
revise rentals downwards to comparable lows of rentals at similar
locations in any market conditions. Will it continue with past
practice in view of constant complaints by shop keepers to lower
rentals to reflect real market conditions instead of relying or
over-relying on comparable highs or peaks during such 3-year lease
reviews.
That the current external market condition has improved and GDP has
grown by 8% in 2004 has not yet translated to improved sales or
better business climate in retail or other domestic sector of the
economy has been the constant subject of feedbacks to respective
governmental bodies and agencies. This same phenomenon can be
easily seen in share-market movements blue chip companies would
be the main beneficiaries in initial phase of market recovery but
not the smaller companies.
Does Mr. Tay recognize that by withdrawing rental rebates granted
in Nov 2001, (could have been reductions anyway) HDB is in effect
raising rental to pre-existing level of 1991. Has property rental
returned to 1991 or pre-1991 level? Therefore, in view of the lack
of response to the critical issues involved as raised by my letter
of 24.12.2004, I would be pleased to have clarifications from Mr.
Tay on the following:-
(1) Whether there was any substantive study to show that rental or
property returns has rebounded to pre-1991 level or rebounded
considerably with reference to the GDP growth of 8%, the primary
factor for withdrawal of 1991 rental rebates.
(2) What basis would HDB use to revise the shop or industrial
premises rentals? It is a common comparable rental basis of rental
valuation still justifiable in todays conditions whereby rentals
would be pushed up to peak rentals in similar locations (HDBs
opinion similar) ? How about modifying rental valuation to one
based on quantum of supply or comparable lows of rentals in similar
locations as especially during market down turns?
(The above-stated reply to HDB's letter published on Today on
30.12.2004 was sadly not published)
