Like Reyes and Deism, I share the view that US will not be
actively involved in the conflict should a real physical war
really breaks out between China and Taiwan.
From the current plight of the US internal condition, the
government over there is already having a hard time trying to
resolve the ongoing slaughter that is still taking place in
Iraq.
To openly participate in yet another military confrontation front
of a hypothetical new front with China, that would be the least
option the country would like to see although we can be assured
that less direct efforts to back previous statements on assistances
to Taiwan in the event of war could certainly come in via the
supply of arms and weaponries.
The hypothetical war will be fought physically PRC Chinese
against Taiwanese Chinese, a regrettable and senseless tragedy
should the event really take place.
At current, the most probable concern leading to the steady
assurance of backing to Taiwan in face of conflict could be due to
US interest for an ally base in the NE Asia region.
The current US presence in S. Korea and Japan has long faced
enduring and harsh local resentment which is creating discomfort
with the strategic military directives on regional interests. And
Singapore though an avid ally, is further located in SE Asia
meaning that longer time is required for maneuvers, and the
effectiveness of any potential blitz attacks hindered, as well as
the further stationing a reduction in military awe and deterrence
to US Unfriendly.
The location of potential conflicts is also very much near the
routes of established international freight shipping, meaning that
the local Singapore port and shipping industry will be
affected.
In spin off, manufacturing exports and imports will be affected in
turn and result in severe cashflow problems for many Singapore
based organizations which usually have operations very fined tuned
to peace time conditions and probably lack the necessary
contingency plans to deal with events of sudden frustration.
And differing from idwars speculation that SG will be able to make
tons of money from weapon sales from the hypothetical conflict,
recall that SG is committed to developing more economic ties with
China, while very much dependent on US support to collaborate with
in the event of security unrest / threats in the Asia Pacific
region.
Either way, SG will be caught in a conflicting point where severe
penalization will be incurred for the wrong moves made.
So the most optimum scenario for us?
We pray that therell be no war.
