Originally posted by Yunhaier:
[b]Govt reviewing baby bonus
scheme
It is thinking of new ways to arrest low birth rate, says DPM Lee,
adding that birth rate is one of top three priorities
By Lee Hui Chieh
AWARE that money alone cannot persuade the stork to visit, the
Government is reviewing its baby bonus scheme as well as trying to
conceive other ways to encourage Singaporeans to marry earlier and
have more children.
So far, its attempts to arrest the slide in births has not worked.
The number of births last year is believed to be the lowest in 26
years.
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Just 31,171 babies were born between January and October. During
the same period in 2002, there were 33,618. And for the whole of
that year, 40,864 births, about 600 less than 2001.
Speaking to reporters during a Chinese New Year dinner at Teck Ghee
Community Club yesterday, Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong
said: 'I don't think you can just depend on money to encourage
people to have children. Having children is a very personal...
decision.'
However, he declined to elaborate on whether the baby bonus would
be increased and other ideas the Government is considering.
The baby bonus, introduced in 2001, offers parents $3,000 to have a
second child and $6,000 for the third child over six years.
Earlier, in a speech to more than 1,300 residents at the dinner, he
listed the low birth rate as one of the Government's top three
priorities this year. The other two are economic restructuring and
political transition.
Last year, each Singaporean woman produced 1.37 babies. She needed
to have 2.1, just to replace the population. The problem was
especially marked among the Chinese, with each Chinese woman
producing 1.18 babies.
Citing these figures, DPM Lee said: 'It's not a new problem. To
encourage people, we have incentives, we have tax rebates, we have
all sorts of things, but still the number of babies has been going
down.
'So this is a very clear problem. We have all these procreation
incentives, I think we have to review them... and see how we can
focus them, make them more effective, and where we need to enhance
them...'
Echoing Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong's Chinese New Year message, he
added: 'We have to change people's mindsets, so they think of
having babies as something that's happy, that's good and that's
what they'd like to do and not just, so much work...'
He was more certain of the direction to take on economic
restructuring, saying that Singapore would have to make structural
changes to stay two steps ahead of the regional competition,
especially that posed by China and India.
Workers will have carry on being trained in new skills such that
they can hold new jobs. The country will have to attract new
investments, so it can handle more value-added production and
promote services that in turn create new jobs, such as in health
care, education and tourism.
'We have to make ourselves flexible, so we can adjust and roll with
the conditions... That includes making our wages more
flexible...'
He asked Singaporeans, especially those born after 1965, to rally
behind their new leaders, expected to take over sometime later this
year.
'We're opening up, we're getting people to be involved... We're
wanting more diversity, to be more varied and rich culturally in
terms of expression, in terms of views. At the same time, we want
to maintain the unity and togetherness, so that we are one people,
one nation, one Singapore.'
***
What do you people think is the...
I) Critical factor/s affecting and contributing to such low birth
rates?
II) Suggestion solution to effectively tackle this issue?
Cheers[/b]
Imagine in 18 years time into the future, the available number
for recruitment into National Service for the SAF, SCDF and Police
will be alarmingly small, which require all three services to be
shrunk in size of manpower that will have significant impact into
the future.
Assuming the annual sex ratio of 1:1 boy-girl babies, and 18 years
into the future, the available manpower to mann our security forces
will be -
20,000 for 2019 (from 40,864 births in 2001),
17,000 in 2020 (from 33,618 births in 2002), and
16,000 in 2021 (from 31,171 births in 2003).
The present intake per year is more then double these
numbers.
The shrinking numbers will threaten not only the manpower
requirements of our Security Services, but also the population
make-up of Singapore.
It will require more qualified foreign workers to take up residence
to fill the shortages in manpower, and accentuate the already
competitive employment environment for Singaporeans..
The only way to encourage the young to form family nucleas is to
lower the cost of living that include the purchase price of HDB or
Private homes, transportation costs, food costs, essential
services, children's welfare and education.
Such expenses should absorb no more then SEVENTY PERCENT of the
TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME of each family, with the remaining THIRTY
PERCENT being saved into CPF Account (20 percent) and into Private
Investments (10 percent).
At present, for any young couple to consider a commitment to build
a family, both parties will have to consider themselves to be in
debt to the Financial System for the next TWENTY to TWENTY-FIVE
Years of their working lives.
Without any social safety net to cushion the impact of any severe
economic upheavals - as had been experienced in the sudden economic
downturn in 1985, 1997, and 2002-2003 - the hard lessons seen and
felt by the young will only discourage them to even consider
building a family until they are able to meet at least FIFTY
PERCENT of the various basic needs.
This will require a delay of at least another TEN to FIFTEEN years
from day of graduation from Tertiary or High School
Education.
With the recent reduction in wages, salaries, and CPF
contributions, and increases to GST and other Government related
and controlled essential services (that include utilities charges,
hospital fees, public transportation costs), the ball is clearly in
the court of the Singapore Government, and not in the hands of any
young Singaporeans to influence the outcome.
It is in the power of the Singapore Government to lower the cost of
development for housing developers and HDB, which ultimately will
have a snowball effect in lowering the costs of a multitude of
prices for homes, transport, goods and services for
Singaporeans.
Let us not have the Government pass the buck and make the Citizens
responsible for the problems that they have largely created with a
short-sighted Family Planning Program, and a myopic view of trying
to transplant the concept of a 'Swiss Standard of Living' into an
Asian setting by enforced artificial means.