Indonesia is a big country with size in almost everything.
they have on paper 1 million soldier. in truth only 300,000 are
really soldiers, the rest carries no more then a pistol and wears a
uniform just to maintain peace and order in the wide sprawling
indonesian archeopelogo.
they have alot of tanks including the PT-76 from russia, but these
have fallen into disuse due to suhartos' pro western policy after
he took over from sukarno. other tanks are lacking in maintainance
and spareparts due to financial constraints.
I seriously doubt those tin cans of indonesia can withstand the
onslaught of SAF's milan, spike,84, ICM,hellfire,
LAW,AGM-65......and blah blah blah....in a conventional war.
Furthermore, for those tanks to be useful against singapore, those
tanks must first reach singapore. in view of the severe lackings in
Amphibious capability of teh TNI navy....its gonna take a miracle
to land a tank on singapore beach admist the barrage of harpoon,
exocet and torpedos from RSAF and RSN.
And since indonesia isnt able to produce their own warships and
LSTs....its gonna be hard for them to get replacements... and once
those ships went under....i seriously dont think anyone can haul a
tank across the singapore strait (40km wide) using sampans. 8>
furthermore, the FH-2000 of SAF can hit batam from east coast with
its 42km range.
The indonesian airforce is also severely crippled by economic woes.
it has afew nice planes but honestly....i dont think it can even
take on RMAF much less RSAF.
I seriously do not think indonesia is capable of attacking
singapore in a conventional war....but i must say...they got lots
of cheap lives to throw in a guerrila attack or sabotage
expedition.
BUT obviously, such an attack would not happens nowadays as long as
RSAF maintain its undisputed leadership in SEA.
because undoubtedly such a sabotage attack would draw singapore to
take out indonesia economic infrastructure where it will really
hurt alot with RSAF bombing OR using the LALEE. so...i think the
indonesians will think twice before starting another konfrontasi
against singapore.
ON the other hand. if indonesia wanna wack somebody, i think east
malaysia would be THE perfect target...
east malaysia has land link with kalimantan a.k.a. indonesian tanks
can just roll over the border, malaysia has no tanks in the entire
east malaysia.
indonesia's 300,000 army would be more then a match against the
pitiful 30,000 malaysian half baked, half trainned, half equipped
soldier of MAF since MAF dont like the idea of giving non 'FULL
MALAY' units weapons that would 'compromise' the malays'
dominance.
Futhermore, taking out east malaysia would be easy as no way can
malaysia send reinforcement in time from west malaysia. in fact, it
is doubtful IF malaysia would send ANY reinforcement considering
the fact that sumatra is next to KL where the seat of the MALAY
power is!
OH!! east malaysia is not under the FPDA or IADS... u
see.....eh.... east malaysia isnt near singapore. those brits,
aussie and NZs are only interested in defending singapore... not
the whole malaysia per se.
but we should all realise that in SEA, no country can go to war
without foreign superpower support, including indonesia.
BECAUSE...most SEA nations dont have a really robust military
industry to support such a conflict and neither the economic
strength to support such a war effort with the exception of
singapore.
BUT even singapore would not risk going to war. singapore's
abilities are renowned and well known by all. but as long as
singapore are not openly threatened by anyone, it is doubtful
singaporeans would wanna go to war over land and water (the usual
simpleton argument of malaysian on singapore attacking them.
hahaaaa...) since these can easily be bought using $$$$.
IN fact.. why risk ur lives for a piece of land (like johor) which
wil be owned by the govt. when u can buy one for a song and have
the malaysian law and police and army to throw out ANY malaysians
who so dare to trespass UR LAND!!;>
why bother to ensalve others?? when u can just pay them to slave
more money for u through investment?? muahahahaaaaa.........
BUT if we are not armed, not defended...then all our $$$ would no
longer be ours to do as we please. SO WE still need SAF now and in
the future to come.
