Many
student graduates are probably feeling uncertain about the future,
given what is happening now, where the world struggles to deal with
major problems like the debt crisis in Europe, low economic growth
in the US and how it might affect jobs in Singapore. The economic
situation could be possibly better off as to compare with two years
ago, however similar doubts among graduates would still linger: "Is
this job stable?", "Can this job pay well?", "Is this a good job
for me?"
So let’s understand the definition of a good job. In a general
sense, a good job is one that offers high deserving salaries,
excellent growth, big opportunities and high job securities to the
employees. One can argue that a good job might also include the
relationship we are able to maintain with our colleagues, the
company’s culture and the level of respect we gain in the office.
However as we are using financial ratios to better determine a
“good” job, no amount of calculation or numbers can determine these
qualitative factors. This article therefore attempts to use three
simple accounting tests to determine the quantitative factors of a
company. The focus is also on how these tests could possibly
increase the chances of you securing a successful and rewarding
career. Excited? You bet! Here it goes ..=)
The Earning per share test (EPS)
To keep
things simple, the Earnings per share’s formula is calculated by
taking the net profit of the company and dividing it over the
average total number of outstanding shares the company has.
Usually, these figures will be calculated for you, which can be
simply located under the company’s website information on
“financial results” or even the annual reports under “financial
overview or financial ratios”. The important thing to note is to
look out for a list historical EPS of the company over the last 10
years. The consistency and trend would determine whether or not the
company has a long term competitive advantage.
An example: A company with consistent EPS riding on an uptrend will
simply look like this
EPS
2001: 0.154
2002: 0.171
2003: 0.170
2004: 0.192
2005: 0.211
2006: 0.230
2007: 0.233
2008: 0.200
2009: 0.245
2010: 0.256 (PASS)
Another example: A company with inconsistent EPS
EPS
2001: 0.314
2002: 0.100
2003: (0.20) loss
2004: 0.120
2005: (0.11) loss
2006: 0.130
2007: 0.100
2008: 0.020
2009: (0.223) loss
2010: 0.130 (FAIL)
Reason:
Having a consistent upward trend EPS for the last 10 years is a
very clear sign that the company has a sustainable competitive
advantage over other competitors, meaning to say that the company
is a powerful one, that is able to sell a product or service that
do not need to go through the expensive process of change. The
chances of the company making strategic expenditures to increase
market share value through advertisement or expansion of its
operations are high. This also means that employees under such
companies have a higher chance in getting overseas promotions as
the company expands its operations around the world to maintain or
increase its future EPS. In other words, more job growth is
attainable.
Likewise, a company that has a downward inconsistent EPS figures
will likely be in a fiercely competitive industry that is highly
exposed to the ups and downs of the economy. These companies offer
no job stability, in good times they hire fast, in bad times they
fire fast as well. This give rise to poorer employment prospects
because during bad times such as a recession (cf. economic year
2008 - 2009). Most of these companies have to cut their expenses
drastically in order to support their bottom line. And guess what,
the easiest expense to cut for such companies is simply operational
cost, which is your job!
Companies which have a consistent upward trend EPS are namely
Singapore Press Holdings (SPH) and F&N.
The Debt Test
Company Debts, just like any debts, are basically money that
belongs to other people and charges interests for lending it to
you. These people are known as creditors, banks, trading partners
etc. Another indication of a good business to work with, are
companies with low levels of long term debts or no debts at all.
Simply by looking at the annual report again, under “Company’s
Balance Sheet” or “Balance Sheet” under non-current liabilities,
you will be able to locate that figure. But don’t just stop there!
Locate another figure called the net earnings or net profit under
the “Income statement” or “Profit & Loss statement”. Take the
Non-current liabilities figure divide by the net profit figure and
compare it for the last 3 years.
For example companies with a low debt level will look like
this
Non-current liabilities in (2007): $401,000
Net profit in (2007): $107,000 (PASS)
($401,000/$107,000= 3.7times)
Non-current liabilities in (2008): $335,100
Net profit in (2008): $82,000 (PASS)
($335,100/$82,000= 4times)
Non-current liabilities in (2009): $322,100
Net profit in (2009): $109,000 (PASS)
($322,100/$109,000= 2.9times)
The general rule of thumb is to have long term debts not exceeding
5 times the net profit.
Reason:
Companies with low debts history, reflects of a good debt
management. Such companies would be a good long term employer to
work for simply because they have more cash to pay out good
salaries or give more perks (because they pays lower interest) The
chances of these companies being able to weather a recession is far
better than a company loaded with huge debts.
On the other hand companies with huge debts will likely mean it
does not have a durable competitive advantage, which the business
is probably in a highly competitive industry where extra capital is
constantly needed just to keep their competitive edge.
This also mean to say that if we work for one of these debt-ridden
companies, the cost of servicing the debt (paying the interest)
will eat up any excess cash and leave little room for salary
increment and bonuses; so don’t expect any company dinner and dance
or paid vacation for that matter! There will also be little excess
capital for growing the business or acquiring new businesses, hence
there will be little growth in managerial opportunities. If there
is a recession, these companies will also be the first to fire
employees in an attempt to cut costs before they go bankrupt. This
is simply not an optimal choice for a long term career.
Companies with low debts are SIA Engineering, ABR (Swensons) and
Breadtalk
The gross margin test
Finally, to tell
whether a company is great one to work for, is to do a gross margin
test. Again, just by looking at the “Profit and Loss statement”
locate first the gross profit, take that figure and divided it by
the total revenue or sales. An example will be:
2007
Gross profit: $127,000
Total Revenue: $355,000
Profit margin: 37.9% (PASS)
2008
Gross profit: $133,000
Total Revenue: $365,000
Profit margin: 36.4% (PASS)
2009
Gross profit: $155,000
Total Revenue: $390,000
Profit margin: 39.7% (PASS)
A rough general guide of a decent profit margin will anything
around or above 30%, a low gross profit margin however is one that
is around 10-20%. You may need to look at companies that have been
around for some time (at least 5 years or more) to do this test
properly, this is because young companies may have very high profit
margins but these does not mean they have durable competitive
advantage.
Reason:
Companies that have excellent long term economics working in their
favor tend to consistently have high gross profit margins than
those that do not. High gross profit margins give companies the
liberty to price the products and services well in excess of their
cost of goods sold (COGS). A lower gross profit margin or declining
one on the other hand, points to brutal competition as well as lack
of pricing power; this could be good for customers but bad for
employees and shareholders. Moreover with lower profit margins, it
will hamper the company’s ability to raise salaries or give big
bonuses, diminishing the company’s capacity to expend capital on
new businesses or to survive in a recession.
Companies with good gross profit margins are Vicom & Singapore
Exchange (SGX)
So the next time when you looking for a job or rattling through the
recruitment section of the newspaper, take some time to download
the companies' annual report and do up some simple accounting
analysis for yourself!