Actually, it is not provable. Most encompassing claims can only
be falsified, not proven.
For instance, we can test the claim that "crows are always black"
by looking at all the crows we can get our hands on. If we have
looked at a goodly number of crows and indeed all of them are
black, then we have supported our claim.
However, we have not proven it, because there may be some crow out
there that is not black. The single exception disproves the claim,
so the only way to prove this is to look at *each and every* crow
there is in existence. Actually, that's still not enough, because
our original claim is not time-limited. Therefore, we would never
be able to prove the claim without being omniscient, because some
crow somewhere some day may not be black.
The black swan theory. I'm familiar with it. But now, let's be
practical. If every single crow you've seen is black, and I made a
bet with you to guess the colour of the next crow we'll see.
Will you put your money and say it's a white crow?
This can be translated into fighting and self-defense. If every
fight between a kungfu/akido/TKD/etc. guy against an MMA fighter
has been a beatdown for the kungfu/akido/TKD guy, will you still go
train in that art?
Problems:
1. Are the ones identified as the best truly the best?
The best were invited to fight. They declined. In his prime,
Tyson was personally invited to a fight by Rorion Gracie. Tyson
never replied. I don't blame him, he was making millions, why risk
it to fight a relative unknown?
The UFC is open to anyone good enough to compete. As long as you
can get past the preliminaries, you can fight.
2. Are the best in the various arts today true representatives
of their arts? That is, are they the best there can ever be?
Why do they have to be the best they can ever be? Doesn't this
same standard apply to the MMA fighter? Not every MMA fighter that
enters the cage is the best nor is he the best anyone ever can
be.
3. No matter how minimal the rules are, there are rules. Do
these rules disadvantage some more than others? Do they give
advantages to some?
A usual ploy used by those who will not compete. But I'll humour
the question.
What are the rules in question? No eye gouging? No groin strikes?
No fish-hooking?
These rules are there to protect the sportsmen entering the cage to
fight. Nobody wants to do a sport and end up dead.
The only rules in the initial UFC were no eye-gouging. I think that
was all. Yet I still see the same people dominating the field. And
the same people getting the beat down.
Let me ask this. If eye-gouging and groin strikes were removed from
your repetoire, does that then make an entire martial art useless?
That kinda sucks doesn't it, if your entire syllabus focused only
on eye-gouges and groin strikes?
And an eye-gouge in mechanics is really no different then a punch.
If you can't punch my face (big target), it's unlikely you'll get
my eyes (small area).
5. Is there ecological validity? That is, would these results
carry over to 'real life'?
For instance, Western boxers tend to lose to BJJ people in the UFC,
right?
1. Are the boxers in these fights the best in the world? What about
the BJJ people? It's hardly fair pitting C students against
lecturers.
Again, it can't be helped if the lecturers were smart and
refused to take part, isn't it?
2. Let's say we get the best boxer today into the UFC. Is he the
best there ever was? Even if he loses to a particular BJJ fighter,
can we conclude that Ali or Dempsey in their prime would have also
lost too? The answer is that we cannot.
Again, a strawman argument. Why does it have to be the best
boxer against a mediocre MMA fighter? The MMA/BJJ fighter is also
not the best in all time. Do you see why this argument is
irrelevant? Maeda is dead. Helio is old and frail.
And what does putting Jack Dempsey or Ali to the test do? You're
never going to be them, and that's what you want when you train, to
protect yourself.
Let's look at sport versus real life now. What happens when you
transfer our two fighters from the UFC ring to a bar? This bar has
stools all over the place, and broken glass all over the floor.
LOL! And lava too! I've never been to a bar with glass all over
the floor, have you?
Ok, I've seen this argument so many times its not funny.
Fact: When you get into a fight with a grappler, it's you who's
going to end up on the bottom, not the grappler. So glass, lava,
razors, stale pizzas is going to hurt you more than the
grappler.
Each of them is separately accosted by a fellow with a hidden
knife. The moment the fight gets into full swing, another 2 guys
will appear to take knife boy's side.
So why can't another 2 BJJ guys with guns appear and take the
grapplers side? Or M16s and bazookas? Why does the grappler always
have to be unarmed and outnumbered and out weaponed but the other
guy does not face the same? See where this argument is going?
Who's more likely to get badly hurt from this encounter? The
boxer keeping his distance and staying on his feet? Or the wrestler
who goes into grappling range without immediately disabling his
opponent's body weapons, thinking he can take a few good punches
while trying to choke out his opponent, not knowing he's about to
become good friends with the pointy end of a steel blade?
Do you go everywhere with a knife on you? I don't want to be
your friend.
I don't advocate going to the ground in a street fight. The skills
are there so you can get up if you were taken there. We don't
choose where we want in a fight, it's a dynamic, harsh situation,
we deal with what's thrown at us. BJJ just gives one the skills to
handle situations on the ground. It's not the be all and end all of
martial arts.
Personally I prefer to be well-versed in stand-up, ground and
weapons.
But just to play along, you're assuming the grappler won't charge
you, lift you and slam you on the back of your neck. Your knives
are not going to be much help in this situation.
Even if he prevents his opponent from drawing his knife, can he
survive being stomped on by two new foes? And even if he wins, he
gets to take home lots of glass shards as souvenirs.
See, again the friends, buddies, knives and glass shards are
always presents for the grappler, and never the other way
around.
Let's say that tomorrow, a Ninjado fellow joins the UFC. He has
really fast and strong legs, and nobody can take him down. He wins
all his fights. Does this now mean that Ninjado is teh uber martial
art? Or does it mean that this *one* guy is better than the rest,
and would likely have won whether his fighting style was Ninjado or
ballet?
Until this unlikely event happens (I won't hold my breathe) it's
pointless arguing this.
Ok, let's say that a bunch of 400lb monsters all take up ballet
for 3 months now, and then they all enter the UFC. They win all
their fights against non-ballet people. So we can conclude that
ballet is the Most Deadly Martial Art in human history? After all,
3 months of ballet > years of Boxing and BJJ, right? Clearly,
such a conclusion would be naive, to say the least.
You do know there's such a thing called the weight category,
yes? If you're a 400lbs tutu wearing monster, you're going to be
facing a 400lbs muscled monster who has monster cardio, monster
punches and monster kicks. Plus monster takedowns and monster
chokes to boot.
HINT: No ballet fighter has yet to win the UFC. Does that tell you
something?
I like you, at least you're intelligent.
Peace.