hmm, i am interested in MM Lee's comment.
if HDB is not an asset, why is the government so concern with
raising the value of hdb, striving to increase "the asset value of
hdb houses"?
i think this mindset works for the baby boomer generation, but
it sure is irrelevant for the younger generation.
The old conventional wisdom:
Step 1: Save $6k, buy house. (1990 price, 4 room flat $60k, 10%
downpayment at 6k, full repayment under 10 yrs, household income
2.5-3k/month, 30 yrs old)
Step 2: wait for house to increase in value, sell house, top up
more money to upgrade to bigger house. (cough up extra 40k to
upgrade to bigger house, 40 yrs old)
Step 3: Repeat Step2 until you are satisfied with your house.
(50 yrs old)
Step 4: age 60, Sell house, downgrade or live with children, and
use profits for retirement.
_____
today:
Step 1: save $30k, buy house (2010 price, 4 room flat $350k, 10%
downpayment at 30k, 30 years for full repayment, household income
4-5k/month, 30 yrs old)
Step 2: Wait for house to increase in value, sell, and top up
100k to upgrade to next bigger units. (and wait, new units are
smaller than older ones. e.g. 2010 5-rm flat = 1990 4rm flat)
Step 3: Keep paying and paying until age of 60. full stop.
Step 4: Sell house, downgrade, live off small profit. live with
children, if there's any children, or if they have a house of their
own to let you live in.
________
i foresee that future singaporeans will be asset rich, each
living in million-dollar properties, but cash-poor, with little or
no money in their bank.
how many people now will have the minimum sum of 100k in their
cpf ordinary account when they retire? Note that quite a sizeable
amount of cpf monies is spent on housing, and you definitely cannot
liquidate your house, which leave you with nowhere to stay.
even with cpf money, can you survive on $200-600++ payouts given
the high cost of living? if you can't, so does your parents, who
also might not have finish their housing payments after
retirement.
in the end, whatever that is left of your salary after cpf
deductions will be divided among your parents, your wife's parent,
your wife, your children and yourself. and grandparents if there's
any.
can you afford to spend so much on housing?