Manchester United boss Sir Alex Ferguson has a feeling 82 points
will be enough to secure the Premier League title this season.
Not since his own side completed their first championship
hat-trick in 2001 has a team finished top with such a relatively
minimal amount.
United won it with 83 in 2003 but, thanks first to Arsene
Wenger's 'Invincibles' and then the staggering consistency Chelsea
achieved under Jose Mourinho, the bar has been raised far higher in
recent times.
Ferguson thinks this season is going to be different.
A title picture that contained seven teams last weekend has been
trimmed somewhat after four of the contenders failed to overcome
opposition from far lower in the table - in a week when Chelsea put
seven past Sunderland, Arsenal roared back from two goals adrift
against Bolton and United overcame Burnley's stern resistance.
But Ferguson believes the main contenders will also continue to
drop points.
"It could be the lowest points total for a while, possibly as
low as 82," he said.
"There may be a change in that but I don't see it because it is
such a tough league.
"In any event, we are going to have to put our foot down."
With United's tilt at the FA Cup over at an unusually early
stage, their clash with Hull on Saturday represents a chance to
reach the Premier League summit, even if they will have played two
more matches than Chelsea and one more than current leaders
Arsenal.
Victory is even more important because of the matches that
follow.
Next Sunday, United head to Arsenal looking to record a league
double over Arsene Wenger's in-form side, having already beaten
them on home soil in August.
Seven days after that, the Gunners visit Chelsea.
Given the present state of play, a couple of away wins - or a
draw at Stamford Bridge - would suit Ferguson fine.
He accepts should Arsenal win both matches, they will suddenly
be on course to end a five-year title drought dating back to the
Invincibles year, which in itself would be quite a feat given
Wenger's men were being written off totally two months ago after
being hammered at home by Chelsea for the second successive
year.
"Arsenal themselves said it was a difficult time for them after
they lost to Chelsea. They were well beaten that particular day,"
said Ferguson.
"But they have proved that when teams start to win games, that
consistency can get you back to the top of the league.
"They will feel they are in with a great chance now and with the
games coming up over the next few weeks, it is going to be
interesting."
Ferguson can at least take some comfort from the return of Rio
Ferdinand on Saturday.
The England defender has been out for almost three months with a
back complaint that dates back to beyond last season's Club World
Cup trip to Japan.
Although Ferdinand is bound to be rusty, his presence has been
missed and should also allow Ferguson to shunt Wes Brown into the
right-back slot - if not to face Hull, then Manchester City next
Wednesday, given that Craig Bellamy exposed Rafael Da Silva so
badly in the Carling Cup semi-final first leg at Eastlands.
The decider is bound to be uppermost in Ferguson's mind when he
comes to select his side on Saturday, even to the extent Wayne
Rooney might get a break.
Not that Rooney is likely to take that piece of news very
well.
"It is difficult to rest Rooney," laughed Ferguson,
acknowledging the striker's desperation to play in every game.
"But there will be occasions, maybe tomorrow."
Dimitar Berbatov's recovery from a dead leg does provide
Ferguson with an alternative, along with Michael Owen and new-boy
Mame Biram Diouf, who has made a decent impression since his
arrival from Molde.
The Senegal-born youngster scored his first United goal on his
home debut against Burnley last week and the excellent reserve-team
hat-trick he claimed at Sunderland last night has not escaped
Ferguson's attention.
"The boy has done very well," said Ferguson.
"His training performances have been very good and he is showing
a real sharpness in front of goal, which is not a bad thing when
you are bringing someone in at this time of year.
"He may just be a real winner for us."