Agam Shah, IDG News
Service Thu Apr 24, 5:00 PM ET
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The 3G iPhone
will be announced June 9, the likely date of Apple CEO Steve
Jobs' keynote at the company's Worldwide
Developers Conference, analysts said in research notes on
Thursday.
The 3G iPhone will be the "first of an impressive wave of new
products" from Apple,
wrote Citi analysts Richard Gardner and Yeechang Lee. They also
expect an updated Mac laptop and iPod
lines. The Apple conference is scheduled for June 9-13 in
San
Francisco.
In addition to a 3G iPhone release in early June, the 2.5G model
could have a "minor casing change" and a price drop to between
US$299 and $349, compared to the current $399, wrote Shaw Wu, an
analyst with American
Technology Research, in a research report.
Those predictions are consistent with a February prediction
Gardner made that 3G iPhones
will be announced by midyear. The 3G iPhone release will help Apple
meet its target of shipping 10 million iPhones in 2008, Gardner
wrote at the time.
Apple is confident it will sell 10 million iPhones this year,
officials said during a conference call on Wednesday to discuss the
company's second-quarter earnings.
When asked about the possible release of a 3G iPhone, Apple
Chief Financial Officer Peter Oppenheimer declined comment. Apple
has new products in the pipeline that the company is excited about,
Oppenheimer said.
Apple sold more iPhones than expected during the quarter and
iPhone inventories were not enough to meet the strong demand,
company officials said. Apple acknowledged that aggregate iPhone
inventories were low in the U.S. and Europe,
which in the past has led to speculation that Apple is reducing
current iPhone supplies to prepare for the release of the 3G
iPhone.
The iPhone shortage is consistent with Apple's "tendency to wind
down inventory ahead of an update," Wu wrote in his note.
Predicting unit shipment of around 11 million iPhones in 2008, Wu
said that iPhone adoption could be driven by the acceleration of
iPhone 2.0 software, which was released in March as a beta and will
be delivered to iPhone users by the end of June.
The iPhone 2.0 software provides enterprise applications to
iPhones, including push e-mail support through the Microsoft
Exchange mail server. It also includes an SDK (software
developer kit) for developers to write iPhone applications.
Native Exchange support on the iPhone could boost its adoption,
Wu said. The iPhone
SDK should deliver many third-party applications for the
iPhone and iPod
Touch by the end of this year, the Citi analysts wrote. The
SDK has already been downloaded 200,000 times and is being used in
one-third of Fortune 500 companies to develop applications for the
iPhone, according to Apple.
In the end, the 3G iPhone will be as good as the network it
operates on, and AT&T
needs to broaden the rollout of its 3G network in the U.S. to
handle data traffic, Wu wrote. The current iPhones are putting a
strain on AT&T's 2.5G EDGE (Enhanced Data GSM Environment)
network, Wu wrote.
AT&T's 3G broadband network is available in many U.S.
metropolitan areas, and the carrier intends to expand it. The
network uses HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access)
technology.
"Timing of a broad 3G roll-out at AT&T is unclear to us and
in our experience, these types of significant network roll-outs
tend to take longer than consensus thinking," Wu wrote.