The Korean peninsular is in one massive stalemate now. But a lil
bit more chia lat than China-Taiwan. In the case of ROC - PRC, the
status quo is desireable, to some extent. No one is suffering cos
of it.
But in DPRK, the status quo is causing deaths. Ppl are starving amd
dissidents sent to concentration camps. There are reports of DRPK
testing Chemical and Biological weapons on dissidents in these
facilities, which definitely qualifies as Human Rights
Violations.
I believe there are a lot of ppl who want to see a regime change in
DPRK. At the same time, there are lots who do not want a war.
Especially the Koreans who have lived thru the previous one. That
is ONE stalemate.
Second Stalemate is the nuclear weapons. Heck, u have to give the
North Koreans for having balls and playing the right cards. They've
got the missile technology to hit US assets, bases in the pacific.
And yes, they can even hit alaska. Alaska = Oil. Alaska contains
what is probably the US's oil reserve. 6-13 BILLION barrels of oil
if they open up drilling. That is not a place where the US wants to
see become Radioactive. Other possible targets in the pacific that
could hurt the US are the asian oil pipelines. Oil doesn't only
affects the USA, but the whole world.
Hopefully it doesn't stay this way forever. Firstly, maybe for some
unknown reason, Kim Jong Ill might get kidnapped by aliens or die
of mysterious heart attack. Next leader, his Son may actually be
more compassionate, and start working for the welfare of his
people. And we might even see a peaceful reunification of the
Koreas.
If not, it will depend on the US's development of its Anti
Ballistic Missile systems. When the US is cocksure that their
system is full proof, they may then actually hold the ace to trump
DPRK's king. (no pun intended) Militarily, the USA, can take on the
DPRK. Especially if its willing to commit 7 carrier battle groups
into the pacific. And with the South Koreans moving their capital
further south, we might actually be seeing pre-emptive measures to
a 2nd showdown in the Korean peninsular.
Then again, like in the 2nd Gulfwar, the Korean war never really
ended. It has been a "ceasefire" all along. Its just a matter of
breaking the "Ceasefire."
