PLAN is definitely growing from strength to strength in the
recent years. The new Type 52B/C and Type51C destroyers are real
modern major surface combatants. Together with their newly
accquired Russian destroyers, PLAN surface fleet will be ranking
closely to Jap and US navy. The China is also looking at
modernising her submarine forces. The recent Song class accident
could be related to the chinese navy experiements with AIP
propulsion. With the new Yuan class sub launch, we can expect PLAN
to take take a prong approach to strengthen their submarine forces
- one local build, another direct import from Russia. The Russians
are happy to sell their latest SSK sub (more modern than Kilo) to
Chinese. The Russian are too cash strapped to provide a decent
permenent naval presence in Far East to protect her valuable oil
assets right now. With Jap hardliner strance on the oil issue with
China, Russian would expect Jap to turn her attention on the
Russian Far East as well.
Right here in SE Asia, the conflict flash point will still be at
the South China sea over the potential oil resources in the region.
As oil price sky rocketed in the recent days and the growing of
nationalism in many countries, the likehood for armed conflicts
over potential oil resources is REAL and Spontenuous!