I do see that in the future, Singapore might need a nuclear
weapon as a margaining card on the table when the strategic balance
between Singapore and our neighbours get off balance, disadvantage
to our side.
Eg. Malaysia can purchase in the future 50+ Astros2 system which
can simultaneously in salvos blanket Singapore. Previously when
they have 18 Astros, we purchase 20 Apaches as the next step,
however when Malaysia purchased 50+ Astros, it is beyond our
capability to purchase 100+ Apaches.
Thus you see there will be a limit to Singapore in terms of
balancing ourselve by a conventional weapon to coventional weapon
challenge. In my case of 50+ Astros, it is clear that malaysia have
shear advantage over us, something as good as them having a WMD and
we have none. I do see that in the future, for the sake of
balancing the balance, we might just have to result in having
non-conventional weapons against our neighbours overwhemming
strength of conventional weapons.
In simple sense, if malaysia can have the capability to level
Singapore, we must have the capability to level their's as a form
of MAD deterrent. Many people will highly that malaysia might go
nuclear as a result, which is yet detrimental to our balance.
However i disagree. I do not see a difference between Malaysia
having 50 Astros2 and 1 nuclear weapon (other than the political
consequences and the military strategies involve), thus i do not
see why their introduction of 1 nuclear warhead or more as a result
of our introduction on 1 nuclear warhead or more, going to be
detrimental to the balance as square one.
I think the nuclear weapon that we might have in the future got to
be a strategic scarecrow. One might not be a nuclear scientist to
know of the negatives of a nuclear fallout, thus eventhough we
launch our nuclear weapon to neutralise our enemy's strategic
weapon (in the case of 50+ Astros), we are still in the silent
spring as our enemy. Thus i see that politicians both sides must
see that the 50 Astro2 is as a form of deterrence as well as the
nuclear weapon, because mutual destruction is never a continuation
of policy.
Thus unless the strategic balance can balance using conventional
weapons, Singapore might have to go nuclear if no conventional
alternative is beneficial to us.
