originally posted by Obersturmfuhrer.
Then the United States would never have came into the picture. The
american public were unanimous in adopting the neutral stance.
Possible outcome:
The Alliance (Britain, Free French and Russia) would still turn the
tide but much more slowly.
East Asia remains under the Japanese shadow for much longer than
what had been.
The Iron curtain may have extended all the way to the borders of
France since the combined Western army of Britain and France do not
have the penetrative power as compared to the actual western
alliance force so the Russians will beat them in the "land
grab".
Philipines will be the only SEA country other than Thailand that
will not be occupied by the Japanese. In order invade the
Philipines, the USN must be crippled, meaning an assault on PH and
therefore rendering this scenario non-existent. Similarly, an
attack on the Philipines may have the effect of bringing the US
into the war.
[1] An American destroyer was sunk by a German U-Boat in
1941/1942 (can't remember the exact date) so that would have drawn
the U.S. into the war against Germany.
The Alliance would still include U.S., Great Britain, the Free
French & Russia. Nothing would have changed, the tide of war
against the Axis powers in Europe would have gone as planned.
[2] If the attack on Pearl Harbour was a failure for the Japanese.
The Philipines would not have been attacked because it was under
the American protection. The Japs would not risk another
failure.
The mastermind of attack on Pearl Harbour was Admiral Yamamoto of
the Japanese Imperial Navy. After the success of the attack on
Pearl, he said "It seems we have awoken a sleeping giant". (or
words to that effect). He was reluctant to go to war with the U.S.
but he was just following orders. The Americans had more &
better resources (fuel & war materiel) than the Japanese so the
attack on Pearl Harbour was a short lived victory for the
Japs.