El Niño
El Niño and La Niña (often
written in English as El
Nino and La Nina)
and are major temperature fluctuations in the tropical Pacific
Ocean. They are Pacific signatures of the global ENSO phenomenon
(El Niño-Southern Oscillation). Their effect on climate in the
southern hemisphere is profound. Their role in global warming or
cooling is an area of active research, with no clear consensus
yet.

Chart of ocean surface
temperature anomaly [°C] during the last strong El Niño in December
1997.
El Niño
El Niño was originally recognized by fishermen off the coast of
South America (Peru and Ecuador) as the appearance of unusually
warm water in the Pacific Ocean. El Niño is the warming of the
surface waters of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean that occurs
at irregular intervals of 2-7 years, usually lasting 1-2 years.
Along the west coast of South America near the end of each calendar
year, a warm current of nutrient-poor tropical water replaces the
cold, nutrient-rich surface water of the Humboldt Current which
fish prefer. Because this condition often occurs around Christmas,
local fishermen named it El Niño (Spanish for boy child, referring
to the Child Jesus). In most years the warming lasts only a few
weeks or a month, after which the weather patterns return to normal
and fishing improves. However, when El Niño conditions last for
many months, more extensive ocean warming occurs and economic
results can be disastrous.
Recent El Niños have occurred in 1986-1987, 1991-1992, 1993, 1994,
1997-1998, 2002-2003, and a new El Niño has been in effect since
September 2004. The El Niño of 1997-1998 was particularly strong,
while the period from 1990-1994 was unusual in that El Niños rarely
occur in such rapid succession. They were generally weak,
however.

ENSO/El Niño state.
- Sea surface is warm in central and eastern Pacific.
- Less cold water is pulled up along west coast of South
America.
- Hot air rises in central Pacific, travels east and west before
cooling and descending.

ENSO normal state.
- Normal equatorial winds warm as they flow westward across the
Pacific.
- Cold water is pulled up along west coast of South America.
- Warming water is pushed toward west side of Pacific.
- Sea surface is warm in the west.
- Hot air rises in western Pacific, travels eastward and cool air
descends on South America.

ENSO/La Niña state.
- Similar to ENSO normal state.
- Warm water accumulates in far western Pacific.
- Equatorial water is cooler than in the normal state.
El Niño's effects
El Niño's weather effects depend on the location, time of year, and
the particular episode. In North America, typically, winters are
warmer than normal in the upper midwest states and Canada, while
central and southern California, northwest Mexico and the
southeastern U.S., are wetter than normal. The Pacific Northwest
states, on the other hand, tend to be drier during an El Niño.
During a La Niña, by contrast, the midwestern U.S. tends to be
drier than normal.
In South America, the effects of El Niño are rather direct and
stronger than in North America. An El Niño is associated with very
wet summers in the coasts of Northern Peru and Ecuador causing
major flooding whenever the event is strong or extreme. The effects
during the months of February, March and April may become critical.
Southern Brazil and Northern Argentina also experience wetter than
normal conditions but mainly during the spring and early summer.
Central Chile receives large rainfall during winter, and the
Peruvian-Bolivian Altiplano is sometimes exposed to unusual winter
snowfall events. The entire peruvian coast and parts of northern
Chile experience above-normal temperatures and moist conditions for
several consecutive months as well. Drier and hotter weather occurs
in parts the Amazon River Basin, Colombia and Central
America.
Australia and Indonesia experience as well direct effects of El
Niño resulting in drier conditions, especially in Indonesia and
along the eastern half of Australia.
Finally, Africa experiences droughts both in the Sahel region
(northwest Africa) and in south-central Africa (Zambia, Zimbabwe,
Mozambique and Botswana mainly).
Non-climate
effects
Along the west coast of South America, El Niño reduces the
upwelling of cold, nutrient-rich water that sustains large fish
populations, that sustain abundant sea birds, whose droppings
support the fertilizer industry. The local fishing industry, who
named the annual appearance near Christmas of the El Niño effect,
along the affected coastline suffers greatly during long-lasting El
Niño events.
La Niña
In the Pacific, La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean
temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, compared to El Niño, which
is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the same
area. The La Niña condition often follows the El Niño, especially
when the latter is strong. Strong La Niñas occurred in 1988-1989
and 1998-2001, and weakly in 1995-1996.
SOI
The Southern Oscillation (SO) is a global-scale seesaw in
atmospheric pressure between Indonesia/North Australia, and the
southeast Pacific. Its measure is through the Southern Oscillation
Index (SOI). The SOI is the normalised difference in surface
pressure between Tahiti and Darwin.

SOI index, 1876-2004. By William
M. Connolley.
Red: monthly averages; Blue: 12 month running mean
ENSO
ENSO (El Niño, Southern Oscillation) is a set of interacting parts
of a single global system of climate fluctuations that come about
as a consequence of atmospheric circulation. ENSO is the most
prominent known source of interannual variability in weather and
climate around the world (~3 to 8 years), though not all areas are
affected. Global ENSO has signatures in the Pacific, Atlantic and
Indian Oceans. In the Pacific, during major warm events El Niño
warming extends over much of the tropical Pacific and becomes
clearly linked to the SOI intensity. While ENSO events are
basically in phase between the Pacific and Indian Oceans, ENSO
events in the Atlantic Ocean lag those in the Pacific by 12-to-18
months. Many of the countries most affected by ENSO events are
developing countries within main continents (South America,
Africa...), with economies that are largely dependent upon their
agricultural and fishery sectors as a major source of food supply,
employment, and foreign exchange. New capabilities to predict the
onset of ENSO events in the three oceans can have global
socio-economical impacts. While ENSO is a global and natural part
of the Earth's climate, whether its intensity or frequency may
change as a result of global warming is an important concern.
Low-frequency variability has been evidenced. Interdecadal
modulation of ENSO might exist.
Western Hemisphere Warm
Pool
Study of climate records has found that about half of the summers
after an El Niño have unusual warming in the Western Hemisphere
Warm Pool (WHWP). This affects weather in the area and seems to be
related to the North Atlantic Oscillation.
Atlantic
effect
An effect similar to El Niño sometimes takes place in the Atlantic
Ocean, where water along equatorial Africa's Gulf of Guinea becomes
warmer and eastern Brazil becomes cooler and drier. This may be
related to El Niño Walker circulation changes over South
America.
Issue #4