i think we need to break the above down to more bite size
chunks, considering them altogether will be very complex.
First: the relationship between the superpowers. At this point of
time, america is the superpower of the superpower, this forced
russia and china to join together to counterbalance their common
threat. the threat of america does not arise from its idealogical
or religious or even political influence. IT is simply the threat
posed by the powerful US military. the omni-power status of the US
army forced nations which are weaker to bridge their differences
and come together for the sake of common security, in simplistic
terms, out of fear of US military power. The rising US power and
the diminishing threat posed by former warsaw nations including
USSR led to the NATO powers to reconsidered the need to be align to
USA, as can be exemplified by the EU in attempting to form a pan EU
nation military force while conveniently leaving USA out of the
picture. EVEN Japan and some other former strong US allies has
begin to move their position from Pro-USA to neutral on the US
side.
The USA obviously isnt foolish nor blind to this situation, the
continuous lost in goodwill and tolerance towards americans
presence since the end of the cold war has led to realization that
US of A cannot maintain its dominance unless it can keeps its
former allies close to USA.
BUT such a move will be difficult in the absence of a common
threat. IT is far easier to tell the NATO nations the danger of a
warsaw pact army swarming every western cities then trying to
convince the NATO nations that CHINA which is 20,000 miles away on
another continents would send tens if not hundreds of millions of
soldier to attack europe across the middleeast or across central
asia.
BUT...in time... CHINA will become a superpower, but even if china
becomes the new superpower of the superpower, it is doubtful that
china could go on an all out war against the whole world, such a
move is stupid and by all measure, lacks wisdom. Continuous war and
endless conflicts would only result in national losses and
eventually weakens a nations military and economic power. This is
the very reason why we dont see USA getting involve in every damn
war around the world.
Furthermore, an aggressive China would ultimately forced others of
lesser powers to align themselves with USA out of fear and desire
for common security, exactly what USA wanted all along by clamoring
about the rising power of china. Russia since the cold war have
view China with a suspicious eye, even now it still does, when
CHINA become omni powerful, russia may have to side with america to
maintain balance of power and security just as it now sides china
when USA is omni power.
Singapore govt, forsees this rise in CHINA as inevitable, singapore
govt also forsees the realignment of weaker nations towards USA in
the future when CHINA becomes the new supersuperpower. thus
singapore govt decided that since such an event is inevitable, it
makes good sense to get into america's good book now by showing our
willingness to stand by america just when america is loosing
friends all over the globe.
Next; it is doubtful that Russian navy can hold off korean and
japanese navy, and it is even more doubtful that russia would get
involved in a war of such a magnitude in view of its dilapitated
economy and a navy that doesnt even have the funds to buy
fuel.
Lastly on singapore, Singapore's greatest threat does not come from
the outside, it comes from the inside. the problem of ever rising
cost of living, the falling birth rate, the greater divided in the
haves and have nots and the rising dissent against the govt urge to
do more and more and more for less and less and less. the bad
management of our nations human resources and lack of compassion
for the underachievers would finished singapore first way before
the first malaysian, indonesian or chinese troops land on
singapore. the lost in social and national cohesion would see the
singapore flag end up in the toilet before anything else.