Singapore's population would be around 5.7 million, by 2017.
A Single-Decker bus can carry 60 people. A Double-Decker bus can
carry 100 people. On average, a bus can carry 80 people. (I know
cannot simply average out the values, but heck care)
To accommodate 5.7 million people, Singapore needs around 71,250
buses.
On average, around 8 buses is used for 1 bus service.
71,250 buses = 8,906.25 bus services.
Of course, not everyone travels at the same time.
So, let's divide the value by 18 (the number of hours bus
services operate every day).
8,906.25 / 18 = 494.79 bus services
Furthermore, not everyone takes public transport. And some more,
the aim is only for 75% of the population to use public
transport.
So, multiply by 0.75,
494.79 x 0.75 = 371.0925 bus services
(372 bus services)
:. By 2017, Singapore needs 372 bus services.
After BSEP ends this year, there will be around 424 bus
services, which would obviously be a huge oversupply of bus
services.
(We only need that number of bus services in 2030, if our
population becomes 6.9 million)
To optimise resources, there would be a need to cut around 52
bus services.
Singapore has 26 HDB towns and estates.
On average, each town/estate would have 2 bus services
removed.
To start the ball rolling,
I guess bus service 256 of Jurong West will be removed. 258 may
merge into 192.
Gotta say, I'm not that well-versed in the loading of bus
services.
So, I will let the more experienced participants make their
educated guess on which bus services could be cut.
Thank you for taking time to read this message.
Regards,
Gek Poh Boy
Wow ur maths thou haha.
Talking abt 256, did anyone suggest this b4 but would it be good
for it to be extended to the new tuas bus ter when it opens this
year, and it shld passby some other areas in tuas not served by
public bus services on the way to tuas frm boon lay?