the way i see it, taiwan belongs to china, despite what ever ah
bian is trying to do within is territory, we cannot ignore the fact
that there is a strong pro-unification party within taiwan. now we
have ma ying-jeou and lien chan banding together against the forces
of green, i would say the 2008 elections results will be a
determining factor of taiwan’s policy towards china. over the
years, china has been building up a credible military and walked
towards a new generation army. its navy is rapidly transforming
from a ‘brown water’ navy towards a ‘blue water’ one like what the
russians and americans are having.. granted their military tech may
be abt a decade or two behind US but the rapid growth in its
defence industry has allowed china to grow and catch up with the
westerner. while the western society may have a skewed mindset
towards the tension within the taiwan striats, i would think that
if ever a war really breaks out, the aid of the US will not be so
forthcoming. now given china’s military strength, even if US is to
help taiwan, they may win, but suffer enough casualities to hurt
the public opinion back in the States. so what i tink is that while
they may act concerned, who rules taiwan ultimately makes no
difference to the west. cuz no matter be in ah bian in power or is
it the CCP, the businesses in taiwan will
still grow since the CCP is now more open
towards capitalism and even harnesses its power to feature in its
philosophy of “socialism with chinese characteristics” so when it
comes to interests, the western society is not really concerned abt
the issue. as a root to all foreign policy, interests are paramount
and i would say, that in event of a merger or whatever, the
interests of these western powers are not going to be dramatically
affected, thus western authors and politicians would thus give a
more neutral stance regarding china and taiwan